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is whether to
politically embed the economy – whether
the state may initiate coercion against
individuals whose own exchanges are
wholly voluntary – whether the
individual belongs to himself or herself
or to the collective.
Bretton Woods
The Bretton Woods financial order
represented an attempt to embed
liberalism on an international scale.
This postwar economic regime consisted
of two main components. On the one
hand, the “larger social context of
goals” required each government to
intervene in its domestic economy – in
particular, “to expand and contract the
national money supply in the quest for
full employment and economic growth.”[2]
On the other hand, these manipulations
would alter domestic interest rates and
create “differential rates of expected
return in expected states,” which would
prompt arbitrage in international
currency markets, which in turn would
destabilize the exchange rates of
foreign currencies. A government
could restore preexisting exchange rates
only by bringing monetary policy back in
line with “international trends” – i.e.,
by sacrificing “the independent pursuit
of monetary policies.”[3]
Yet postwar policymakers were unwilling
to make this sacrifice. Bretton
Woods instead advanced the “restrictive
economic practices” – namely, capital
controls – that were “required to defend
the policy autonomy of the new
interventionist welfare state.”
These controls would prevent
“speculative…international capital
flows”[4]
from taking advantage of “differential
rates of expected return” to “generate
foreign exchange market disequilibria.”[5]
Stable exchange rates would ensue,
“encouraging international economic
transactions.”[6]
Both components of the Bretton Woods
order conform to the same philosophical
rationale for embedding an economy.
By manipulating “the national money
supply in the quest for full
employment,”[7]
Keynesian macroeconomic policy
redistributes “purchasing power,”[8]
and the welfare state imposes a more
direct tax on the wealthy. Social
aims of (a) economic equality and (b)
general prosperity appear to override
the goal of upholding individuals’
property rights, i.e., their freedom
from coercion. The collective
makes a claim on the individual.
The selection of capital controls over
floating exchange rates reveals a
similar principle. Eric Helleiner
argues that a key “explanation of the
support for the restrictive Bretton
Woods financial order was the widespread
belief” in the incompability of “a
liberal international financial order”
and “a stable system of exchange rates
and a liberal international trading
order.” But rather than
liberalizing finance and trade, and
letting exchange rates float, postwar
leaders chose to “drive the usurious
moneylenders from the temple of
international finance” – to sacrifice
individual freedom in the “financial
sector.” In return, states
expected “a system of stable exchange
rates and liberal trade,” which
presumably would enhance general
“prosperity”[9]
in line with goal (b) above.
The Capital Mobility
Hypothesis
The Bretton Woods order grew
impracticable as states “embrace[d] an
open, liberal international financial
order…beginning in the late 1950s.”[10]
David Andrews terms this the “capital
mobility hypothesis”: “as capital
mobility increases, the nature of [the]
trade-off” between monetary autonomy and
exchange rate stability “becomes more
severe.”[11]
But if states had supported capital
controls “in the early postwar years” to
achieve certain political goals, then
why would they narrow their political
choices by repealing those controls?
Andrews finds “at least three distinct
types of underlying causes”: first,
technological innovation has streamlined
“private international capital
transactions”; second, private actors
have developed new financial instruments
that similarly “facilitate[ed] the flow
of capital across borders.” Yet
while these two trends may have hindered
the enforcement of capital controls,[12]
the state – as a monopoly on coercion –
undoubtedly possessed tools to obstruct
illegal capital flows. Indeed,
Helleiner writes that Western states
made a decision not to “impos[e]
more effective capital controls,” even
though the creators of the Bretton Woods
order had earlier proposed “specific
mechanisms for overcoming [the
difficulties]” of controlling capital.[13]
Andrews provides a third reason for the
abandonment of capital controls.
States now want to attract
“capital-asset-holders” to their
economies; “they are…effectively
competing” with other states “for the
right to regulate capital. The
general thrust of this new competitive
dynamic has been for states to
accommodate the preferences of market
actors by liberalizing (or, in other
words, lowering) their regulatory
standards.”[14]
Yet this process was not inevitable:
competitive pressures may undermine the
“regulation of national financial
markets,” but these pressures fail to
account for the original liberalization
“of capital movements between
[markets].” Andrews tries to
explain the paradox by arguing that
“[i]t is not clear that the…implications
of capital control abolition were
entirely understood by all the
governments that undertook these
reforms…[particularly] European
governments.”[15]
However, Helleiner attributes more
plausible motives to these states: they
revoked capital controls not out of
confusion, but rather to compete for
capital in an earlier
competitive spiral with the two states
who first pushed for “a more open
international financial order”: the
United States and Britain. These
two states unilaterally gave “mobile
financial traders a location in which to
operate without regulation,” and both
“supported [the] growth of the
Euromarket in the 1960s and then
liberalized and deregulated their
financial markets in the 1970s and
1980s.”[16]
The source of increasing international
capital mobility, in short, was states
with relatively unembedded liberal
economies.
Lessons
Implicit in this historical account is
the lesson that different political
philosophies conflict – not only in
theory, but also in their applications
to international economic policy.
A state X whose leaders want to embed
its economy and to stabilize its
exchange rates requires capital
controls. Without these controls,
X cannot augment (a) domestic economic
equality with (b) the general prosperity
gained by international trade. But
a state Y whose economy is unembedded
and whose leaders unilaterally permit
capital mobility will push X both to
revoke its own capital controls and to
deregulate its own markets, as outlined
above. Therefore X must accept
increasing inequality at home, as it
loses monetary policy autonomy – or it
must accept increasing inequality with
the rest of the world, if it chooses to
maintain the capital controls and
regulations that drive away market
actors. Either outcome is
philosophically unacceptable to X.
And just as X’s leaders employ Keynesian
macroeconomics or welfare policies to
preclude such outcomes at home – as they
use their monopoly on coercion in order
to force state goals upon individuals
who would frustrate those goals – so X
will attain national aims by employing
coercion against any states that would
frustrate those aims.
Here we return to the core philosophical
principle: the collective is making a
claim on the individual. This
principle wholly contradicts the belief
that the individual belongs to himself
or herself – a belief that underpins
opposition to Keynesianism macroeconomic
policy, to capital controls, and even to
government-maintained exchange-rate
stability. And whether these
opposing creeds are embodied by two
individuals, two classes, or two
nations, conflict will ensue.
Conclusions: Evidence
from Politics and Academe
Of course, Anglo-American international
economic policies did not provoke war
with the embedded liberal economies of
the European continent. European
leaders likely do not assign economic
equality such a high value relative to
general prosperity. In fact, the
more they esteem overall prosperity, and
the less heed they give considerations
of equality or freedom, the more they
will appear non-ideological or practical
– and Kathleen McNamara indeed finds
“that the governments of Europe followed
a pragmatic, not ideologically
purist, type of monetarism”[17]
in response to economic crisis and
capital mobility.
On the other hand, individual scholars
who can afford greater philosophical
consistency take these beliefs to their
logical conclusions in the form of
policy prescriptions. For example,
in Mad Money Susan Strange
considers central banks to be
“ill-suited to the task” of resolving
crises because they “have an innate
tendency to prefer deflation to
inflation, and to judge monetary
stability more important than keeping
people in jobs and troubled businesses
from closing down”; unsurprisingly, she
adopts a Keynesian perspective.
Equally unsurprising is her endorsement
of the global policies that the
aforementioned state X must follow if it
is to embed its economy in a world it
shares with state Y. Jonathan
Kirshner actually labels Strange’s
approach as “global Keynesianism”;[18]
she concludes with clear disappointment
that neither individual states nor
international economic institutions are
“up to the job of managing mad
international money” on a worldwide
scale.[19]
And although this paper greatly diverges
from Kirsher’s in tracing the economic
implications of her political
philosophy, we nevertheless might agree
with his conclusions:
....That apparently
technical debates are inescapably
political. And that those politics,
more than the underlying economics, can
best explain the shape of the monetary
landscape.[20]
[1]
Kathleen McNamara,
The
Currency of Ideas: Monetary
Politics in the European Union
(Ithaca, NY: Cornell University
Press, 1998), p. 54.
[3]
David M. Andrews, “Capital
Mobility and State Autonomy:
Toward a Structural Theory of
International Monetary
Relations,”
International Studies Quarterly
38, no. 2 (June 1994), p. 195.
[4] Eric
Helleiner,
States
and Reemergence of Global
Finance: From Bretton Woods to
the 1990s (Ithaca, NY:
Cornell University Press, 1994),
p. 3.
[8]
Jonathan Kirshner, “The Study of
Money,” World Politics 52 (April
2000), p. 427.
[16]
Helleiner, pp. 12-14.
[18]
Kirshner, pp. 418-419.
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